Prognostic of lithium-ion batteries using a combination of physical modeling and hybrid multi-layer perceptron particle filter

authored by
Francesco Cancelliere, Sylvain Girard, Jean Marc Bourinet, Matteo Broggi
Abstract

With the European Union legislative push to phase out internal combustion engines by 2035, the demand for electric vehicles and efficient energy storage solutions, particularly lithium-ion batteries, is set to rise. Addressing this demand necessitates both the optimization of battery lifespan and the development of robust methodologies for real-time assessment of state of health and prediction of remaining useful life. This study introduces a novel hybrid grey-box prognostic and health management framework that combines a physical battery model with a multi-layer perceptron particle filter (MLP-PF) for real-time estimation of degradation parameters. The approach leverages an electrochemical model developed in Modelica to simulate battery voltage and track degradation parameters, thereby capturing the battery dynamic behavior over time. By integrating a data-driven MLP-PF, this method adapts the physical degradation parameters, ensuring ongoing and precise estimation of remaining useful life. Experimental validation, in terms of accuracy and confidence interval coverage, confirms the framework capability in prediction and relative quantification of uncertainties. These results underscore the framework practical utility for battery management systems in electric vehicles, providing an adaptable and accurate tool for decision-makers in battery maintenance and replacement.

Organisation(s)
Institute for Risk and Reliability
CRC 871 Regeneration of Complex Capital Goods
External Organisation(s)
Phimeca Engineering S.A.
Clermont Auvergne University (UCA)
Type
Article
Journal
Energy Reports
Volume
12
Pages
5863-5874
No. of pages
12
Publication date
12.2024
Publication status
Published
Peer reviewed
Yes
ASJC Scopus subject areas
General Energy
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
Electronic version(s)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2024.11.058 (Access: Open)